The governor’s election earlier this week in Virginia speaks to something I’ve been talking about recently … we’ll see 20 more years of Democrats in the White House because of the changing demographics of America.
If you weren’t following the Virginia election, Terry McAuliffe won. He’s a
Democrat and a “friend of Hillary.” His victory will give Hillary a key state
in the 2016 presidential election. McAuliffe won because of the urban vote, the
welfare vote and the minority vote. That demographic is increasingly America …
more Americans live in urban than rural settings and urban centers are
increasingly “blue” voters. America is also increasingly welfare oriented,
which also tends to be more “blue.” And America is increasingly a place where
"minority" is moving toward majority status, which plays to the
Democrats advantage too.
But, what also makes Virginia so
interesting is its transformation. Just a few years ago, it was a “red” state …
then it became a mixed state … and now it is trending “blue.” Virginia is
still a bit schizophrenic in that McAuliffe did not win a majority of the
votes, just a plurality of the votes, narrowly beating a Tea Party contender.
It represents the same transition America is struggling through at the moment.
And it speaks to where America is headed – the urban welfare majority vs. the
largely non-urban right wing faction of the Republicans.
How does this play out, you may wonder. My guess is that the urban majority
will win this fight because of their sheer numbers. They will control the White
House and, on occasion, control both chambers of Congress. But, the right-wing
faction will most likely command large enough numbers in Congress to be a
countering force. The right wingers will be a stone wall pushing to stop the
lust for welfare expansion … while the urban faction will push for policies
that the right wingers will fight tooth and nail. We, in turn, end up with
increasingly rancorous politics in America. We face the increasing likelihood
of more government shutdowns and other tactics in which the minority party
tries to block the majority in power because it’s the only power the minority
has. Virginia says a lot about our future as a country.
written by Jeff Opdyke